2021 Golden Globes Prediction: Will ‘Baaraat’ Be Big Winner?

When it comes to predicting the winners Golden globe On Sunday night, you have to imagine an array of conflicting agendas. The Hollywood Foreign Press Association, which hosts the event, prefers to best its trophies over films that already have an abundance of Oscars, but the group’s small size – about 90 eccentric journalists who vote for the Globe – Leave your category a blow winner.

This year, the epidemic gave association members the opportunity to rub shoulders with big celebrities, a glamorous perk that can often affect their selection. HFPA is also under fire After a raft of Improvised article Uncovered dual practices and an insular membership, including no black voters, which could suggest that last year’s acclaimed black-headed none such as “Da 5 Bloods” and “One Night in Miami” led the Globes Brought to you by the best-drama. .

Will voters try to minimize those controversies by choosing a diverse set of eligible winners, or will traditional globe anarchy prevail? I have little hope of both. My guesses are for this year’s film race at the Golden Globes.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Drama

Viola Davis, “Ma Rainey Black Black”
Andrea Day, “United States of America vs. Billy Holiday”
Vanessa Kirby, “Pieces of a Woman”
Francis MacDormand, “Nomadland”
Carrie Mulligan, “Promising Young Woman”

This race McDormand and MulliganEach of the fronting zeitgeistie films that were nominated in the drama, director and screenplay categories. As Mulligan’s revenge role, as a completely contemporary Cassie is a major change of pace for a star often seen in period pieces, I project her to win in a squeaker.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Drama

Riz Ahmed, “The Sound of Metal”
Chadwick Boseman, “Ma Rainey Black Black”
Anthony Hopkins, “Father”
Gary Oldman, “Manc”
Taher Rahim, “The Mauritanian”

Bosker’s status as an Oscar favorite is that if the Globe moved a different way, they would invite more scrutiny and controversy at a time when they needed it more. This is not to say that the category lacks powerhouse options: in any other year, Hopkins, Ahmed or Oldman can easily cruise to victory here. But not this time.

Best motion picture, drama

“husband”
“Munk”
“Nomad”
“Promising young lady”
“Test of chicago 7”

For all his powers, “Father” And “Munk” seems less important when pitted against three major issue dramas. “Promising Young Woman” will be a provocative, stinging pick, but the Globe voters turn to a film with a serious chance of winning the best picture Oscar, and the most by that metric, “Nomadland” and “Chicago 7’s Trial” Expectations. It can go either way, but I’m guessing “Chicago 7”, written and directed by two-time Globe winner Aaron Sorkin.

Best Actress, Musical or Comedy

Maria Bacalova, “Borat Subterranean Foundations”
Kate Hudson, “Music”
Michel Fieffer, “French Exit”
Rosamond Pike, “I Care a Lot”
Anya Taylor-Joy, “Emma”

Bucklow Delivered one of Bohr’s successful performances of the year as Borat’s daughter, and although she would be promoted as a supporting actress for the Academy Awards, Globes’ comedy / musical categories saw her darting into major races and snatching a high Provide a major opportunity. Profile Trophy. Among the handful of contenders with the hopes of a long shot Oscar, he is as good as gold.

Best Actor, Musical or Comedy

Sacha Baron Cohen, “Borat Subwendant Movefilm”
James Corden, “The Promo”
Lin-Manuel Miranda, “Hamilton”
Dev Patel, “David Copperfield’s Personal History”
Andy Samberg, “Palm Springs”

Baron Cohen previously won this Golden Globe for “Borat”, and his only real competition here is Miranda. Still, “Hamilton” was at its peak five years ago, and the HFPA does not like to feel like the last to come to a party. Expect more votes for Baron Cohen, whose acceptance speech may spice up the socially distant night.

Best motion picture, musical or comedy

“Borat Subvert Movement”
“Hamilton”
“music”
“Palm Springs”
“Class Dance”

“Palm Springs” and “prom” are not significant globe threats, and nominations for “music” sparked ridicule that voters would probably be embarrassed for further recognition Fiasco directed by Sia. This just leaves “Hamilton” and “Borat” and since Disney + Tapping of “Hamilton” will not be Oscar-worthy, HFPA should favor baron Cohen’s friendly masculinity.

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

Glenn Close, “Hillbilly Allegi”
Olivia Colman, “The Father”
Jodie Foster, “The Mauritanian”
Amanda Seyfried, “Mank”
Helena Zengel, “News of the World”

Two years ago, Close won the Best Actress in a Play for “The Wife”, while Coleman won the Best Actress in a Musical or Comedy for “The Favorite”. What will happen when you put those two Globe winners face-to-face in this year’s supporting actress race? Potentially, it makes enough daylight to slip through Seffried, but I think Colman still has the upper hand Better Reviewed Film That scored Globe nominations across the board.

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

Sacha Baron Cohen, “Trial of Chicago 7”
Daniel Kaluya, “Judas and the Black Messiah”
Jared Leto, “The Little Things”
Bill Murray, “On the Rocks”
Leslie Odom Jr., “One Night in Miami”

With Odom likely to win for Baron Cohen and “Borat” in the best-song category, will voters spread the money here and choose someone else? Kalua’s magnetic performance as Black Panther leader Fred Hampton has a lot of Oscar heat, but the Globes have become infrequent in this category before – or don’t you remember “Nocturnal Animals” star Aaron Taylor-Johnson playing Maharshala Ali Did “Moonlight” out? So I’m tempted to predict a victory for Leto, who has tried to get the award for “The Little Things”: it wouldn’t feel like a globe without a chaotic victory at the top of the show.

Best director

Emerald Fennell, “promising young lady”
David Fincher, “Munk”
Regina King, “One Night in Miami”
Aaron Sorkin, “The Trial of Chicago 7”
Chloe Zhao, “Nomadland”

This category often goes for the most technically difficult film, which seems to favor Fincher for the brilliant “scent”. But Zhao is considered an Oscar front-runner and the HFPA has taken considerable heat for rarely recognizing women in this race. I project that Zhao will become the first female director to win here in nearly four decades, as Barbara Strissand won this Globe for “Glant”.

Best script

Emerald Fennell, “promising young lady”
Jack Fincher, “Manc”
Aaron Sorkin, “The Trial of Chicago 7”
Christopher Hampton, Florian Zeller, “The Father”
Chloe Zhao, “Nomadland”

It is the promising upstart versus the legendary Sorkin in this category. If the HFPA decides that Zhao is their best-director pick, the screenplay race gives a much more natural place to reward Sorkin, and I hope voters seize the opportunity.

Best foreign language film

“another round”
“La Llorona”
“The Life Ahead”
“Minari”
“both of us”

The immigrant story “Minari” may not be more American, but an old HFPA rule changes it to the foreign-film category because its characters often speak in the Korean language, and an even more terrible rule dictates that foreign films Still not eligible for a Best-Drama nomination. Knowing this, the Globe will likely reward the “Minari” in an effort to taunt All disputes, But the real victory would completely eliminate those rules next time.

Best Animated Feature Film

“The Croads: A New Age”
“correct”
“On the moon”
“inner heart”
“Wolfwalkers”

The much acclaimed “Wolfwalkers” Efficiency has waned, and the Globes often go for the same: just last year, “Toy Story 4” and “Frozen 2.” Like the more minor “Missing Link” won over Juggernaut. This said, I am still presenting Pixar’s “Soul” to win, as it showed enough strength to solidify each other’s nominations with HFPA. speaking of which …

Best original score

Alexander Desplat, “The Midnight Sky”
Ludwig Goranson, “Theory”
James Newton Howard, “News of the World”
Trent Rezner, Atticus Ross, “Munk”
Trent Regnor, Atticus Ross, John Batiste, “Soul”

Rezner and Ross are double nominated here – and will probably repeat at the Oscars – but in a best-score category, you have to assume that the film has an edge over music. Expect his work with John Battiste to conquer “Soul”.

Best original song

“Fight for You” (“Judas and the Black Messiah”)
“Hear My Voice” (“Trial of Chicago 7”)
“Io S)” (“Life Ahead”)
“Speak Now” (“One Night in Miami”)
“Tigress and Tweed” (“United States vs. Billy Holiday”)

Leslie Odom Jr. and Andre Day received double nominations for acting and songwriting in their films, but the Globe preferred “One Night in Miami” (which also received a best-director nomination) in Day’s Billy Holiday biopic. “Speak Now,” which Odom wrote with Sam Samworth, is a better shot to listen to here.