Two months after the presidential election, Georgia voters will decide on Tuesday in two runoff elections which party controls the Senate, determining that President-Elect Joseph R. Biden Jr. can complete during his first two years in the White House.
Republican 2020 senator Johnny Isakson had both Senate seats in the 2020 ballot because of scheduling and 2019 retirement. If the Democratic candidate, John Osoff, a documentary film executive and the Rev. Rafael Warnock, a minister, win, Democrats will dominate the Senate by one vote. If any of the Republican members, Senators David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler, prevail, the Republicans will retain their Senate majority.
Georgia law requires candidates to declare a winner to receive at least 50 percent of the vote – a gaiety of secession-era policies designed to prevent black opponents from passing through a crowded field of white opponents.
In November, none of the races in the state Senate reached the extent to which both fled. Mr. Perdue faces Mr. Ossoff in a regularly scheduled contest, and Ms. Loeffler, who was appointed to Mr. Isacson’s seat in December 2019, is dying against Mr. Warnock, the historic Ebenezer Baptist Church in Atlanta Is leading the special election.
About three million voters have already cast ballots. Here we are voting for more voters on election day.
Both John Osoff and David Perdue want to nationalize their competition.
Perhaps no Republican in Congress has fully co-opted Trump’s political ethos compared to Mr. Perdew, a former corporate executive who has made millions of dollars. Outsourcing American jobs overseas And now has fully adopted America’s first message of President Trump.
And few Democrats are more representative of the party’s Trump-era resistance than the 33-year-old Mr. Ossoff With a little Resumes that have proved to be a strong candidate and capable fund-keeper by emphasizing their commitment to a standard-issue multinational progressive agenda.
Everyone has sought to nationalize the campaign’s stakes. Mr. Osoff campaigned with former President Barack Obama, Mr. Biden and Vice President Elect Kamala Harris. Mr. Perdue has promised to “fight for Trump” and Called Georgia’s Republican Secretary of State, Brad Raphensparger, to resign after Mr. Biden won the state.
Both candidates have implicated the race in terms of its national implication, with Mr. Ossoff arguing that only if Georgia elects Democratic senators can Mr. Biden apply his legislative agenda – increasing incentive checks from 600 to $ 2,000. with. Mr. Pardew has stated that he and Ms. Loeffler are the last bullets against Washington’s liberal takeover.
In November, m. Pardew won nearly 88,000 more votes than Mr. Osoff out of nearly 4.95 million artists. But general election votes do not go as far as runoff, and there is some evidence in the data for early voting periods that Democratic voters did in much stronger numbers than Republicans.
Kelly Loeffler and Rafael Warnock are political novices with very different styles.
The wealthy businessman and political newcomer, Ms. Loeffler, was the controversial choice of Brian Kemp to step in for Mr. ISKCON last year.
Another candidate was supported by conservative Republicans as well as Mr. Trump. As if to prove them both wrong, Ms. Loeffler Have embraced a conservative platform And be one of the arch-loyalists of the president.
During a year in office, she has not become wildly popular among Georgians. In the November election in a field of 20 candidates, it garnered only 26 percent of the vote.
He has spent more than eight weeks in attack mode against Mr. Warnock, claiming that he will serve as a “rubber stamp” for socialism, while he stands as strengthening American democracy . But on Monday evening, he proclaimed, allying himself with Mr. Trump to reverse the election results She will vote against Certifying Mr. Biden’s victory at Electoral College.
She made the announcement after the initial voting period ended – in which Democrats are expected to be dominated – and the election day and rally with Mr. Trump as she seeks Republican voting.
Mr. Warnock never ran for public office, but He has been politically involved As an advocate for the right to vote.
An experienced orator, Mr. Warnock’s campaign stump speech resembles a church service on Sunday morning. He avoids direct attacks on his opponent, instead emphasizing his childhood and the influence of his toiling father in a Saavn housing project.
An exception is the advertisement of the Warnoch campaign, which focused on the controversy surrounding Ms. Loeffler’s trades last year of millions of dollars of stock in the early days of the coronovirus epidemic. The Department of Justice investigated whether Ms. Loeffler traded insider information during a Senate coronavirus briefing last January. Investigator Notified However, in May, the government will not pursue charges.
These are the two most expensive Senate races.
The twin contests in Georgia have overturned the Senate race’s previous spending record, even a year later, in which most of the earlier markings had already fallen.
The Purdue-Ossoff race is priceless ever, including expenses before runoff, with approximately $ 470 million in expenses. Center of Responsive Politics. The No. 2 slot goes to the Loeffler-Warnock competition, which has grossed over $ 362 million so far. And both totals will increase when final spending figures are reported.
In some perspective, before 2020 only one Senate race ever topped $ 200 million.
The spending has meant waves and waves of negative advertisements in recent weeks, with Republicans casting both Democrats, but in particular describing Mr. Warnock as “radical” and too liberal for Georgia. Democrats have implicated inciting people as out-of-touch wealthy senators who have traded in their positions to increase their personal wealth, ignoring the needs of Georgians.
According to AdImpact data, in the runoff alone, about $ 500 million has gone into advertising, most of which is negative, which buys television and digital. So much is being spent that campaigns are buying millions of dollars in advertisements in the media markets of neighboring states Spread to georgia.
The Democratic candidates themselves have been out of the republic’s instigation. Each Democrat raised more than $ 100 million from mid-October to mid-December. But a flood of money in conservative Super PACs means Republicans are outpacing all Democrats on the airwaves, although some of that advantage is offset by the fact that television stations can charge higher prices for ads for the Super AAC.
One thing is certain: This election will break the voting record.
Even before the election day opened, these high-stakes races have generated unprecedented interest.
Already, more than three lakh people have voted, both from absentee voting and at early polling places around the state. It breaks the record of the Georgia Senate runoff election that was set in 2008, when 2.1 million people voted.
Early polling data suggested high participation among black voters, who form a large proportion of Georgia’s Democratic voters – a good sign for the party. a Website Tracking voting shows that 31 percent of those who have voted so far are Black.
Another positive sign for Democrats is that 100,000 absentee ballots were requested by voters who did not participate in the November election. Many of them are believed to have recently registered to vote.
But that does not mean both Democrats will win. One fact that is good for Republicans is that Georgia has a preference among Republicans to vote on election day. Another is that Democrats have not traditionally performed well in Georgia runoff elections, which historically appeal to voters who are older, whiter and more Republican.
How will President Trump’s main supporters respond to an election that he says is illegal?
The Georgia contest comes 15 days before Mr. Biden was sworn in, but Mr. Perdew and Ms. Loeffler have not been able to use their strongest argument – that they and a Republican Senate majority serve as a check on the incoming Democratic will do. director.
Mr. Trump’s repeated attempts to reverse election results – the latest being A call to Mr. Rafaenspar on Saturday, Georgia’s secretary of state, urging her to “find out” more than 11,000 votes – Trump has abandoned his promise to fight for the president rather than fight for the presidency in the political era.
The political far right to accept Mr. Biden’s victory has led to a high-profile call for conservatives to boycott Georgia runoff contests and tweet to the president that the runoff system embedded in Georgia elections for generations , Itself is illegal.
It is not known how many core Trump supporters are dissuaded by the presidential defeat, and angry about right-wing conspiracies about it, that they would refrain from voting in the runoff.
Republicans have never lost a statewide runoff election in modern-day Georgia, as Democratic voting has traditionally fallen below the level of general elections. But for the first time, Democrats have a mature and strong get-out-the-vote operation, and Republicans are concerned about the enthusiasm of their voters.
Dalton, Ga. At a rally on Monday night, Mr. Trump again falsely claimed that he had won Georgia and vowed to get into primary challenges in 2022 to the Republicans, who said he was sufficiently responsible for the outcome of his efforts Were not loyal. Election.
He said, “I am going to come here in a year and a half.” “And I’m going to campaign against your governor and the insane secretary of state.”